000
WTPZ32 KNHC 141459
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Twenty-Two-E Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222018
1000 AM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 102.8W
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Twenty-Two-E was located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 102.8
West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph
(9 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today. A turn
toward the west and southwest at a slower forward speed forecast to
begin tonight and continue into Tuesday. On the forecast track, the
depression is expected to slowly move away from Mexico over the
next few days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later tonight or
early Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum of 8 inches
along the coastal sections of the Mexican states of Michoacan,
Colima and Jalisco.  These rains may produce life-threatening flash
floods.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart