192 
WTPZ32 KNHC 080228
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane John Advisory Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP122018
900 PM MDT Tue Aug 07 2018

...JOHN BEGINNING TO MOVE AWAY FROM SOCORRO AFTER PASSING JUST TO
THE EAST OF THE ISLAND...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 111.1W
ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula
should monitor the progress of John.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane John was located
near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 111.1 West.  John is moving
toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and a faster
northwestward motion is forecast for the next few days.  On the
forecast track, John should pass to the southwest of Baja
California Sur Wednesday and Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in strength is forecast during the next day
or so, and a weakening trend is expected to begin on Wednesday and
continue into Friday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
(185 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  John is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
1 to 2 inches over far southern Baja California Sur, with isolated
maximum amounts of 3 inches through Wednesday.

SURF:  Swells generated by John will affect portions of the
coasts of southwestern Mexico and the southern portion of the Baja
California peninsula during the next few days.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch