641 WTPZ32 KNHC 071446 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Hurricane John Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122018 900 AM MDT Tue Aug 07 2018 ...JOHN STILL STRENGTHENING... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.9N 109.8W ABOUT 320 MI...510 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of John. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane John was located near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 109.8 West. John is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and a faster northwestward motion is forecast for the next few days. On the forecast track, John should pass to the southwest of Baja California Sur Wednesday and Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and John is forecast to become a major hurricane tonight or early Wednesday. Steady weakening is expected to begin Wednesday night and continue into early Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: John is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches over far southern Baja Sur, with isolated maximum amounts of 3 inches through Wednesday. SURF: Swells generated by John will affect the coasts of southwestern Mexico and the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Brown