000 WTPZ32 KNHC 090235 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Hurricane Aletta Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022018 900 PM MDT Fri Jun 08 2018 ...ALETTA BEGINS TO WEAKEN... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.2N 112.3W ABOUT 490 MI...785 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SSW OF SOCORRO ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Aletta was located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 112.3 West. Aletta is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A west-northwest to northwest motion at a similar forward speed is expected through Sunday, followed by a slow westward motion on Monday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Aletta is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fast weakening is forecast during the next few days, and Aletta is expected to become a tropical storm by Saturday night. Aletta will likely degenerate into a remnant low on Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 953 mb (28.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Aletta will affect portions of the coast of west-central mainland Mexico and the west coast of Baja California Sur through the weekend. Swells are expected to build even higher along these areas early next week due to another weather system to the east of Aletta. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Berg