000 WTPZ32 KNHC 061730 TCPEP2 BULLETIN HURRICANE BLANCA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022015 1200 PM MDT SAT JUN 06 2015 ...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE APPROACHING BLANCA... SUMMARY OF 1200 PM MDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 109.8W ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM S OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cabo San Lucas to Santa Fe A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * La Paz to Santa Fe, including Cabo San Lucas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of La Paz to San Evaristo * North of Santa Fe to Cabo San Lazaro For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1200 PM MDT (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Blanca was located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 109.8 West. Blanca is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), but a turn toward the north-northwest is forecast by tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Blanca is expected to be near the southwest coast of Baja California Sur in the warning area late Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Blanca is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some weakening should begin on Sunday. An Air Force reconnaissance plane is currently approaching Blanca. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 943 mb (27.85 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the warning area on Sunday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area on Sunday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area starting Sunday night. RAINFALL: Blanca is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 10 inches over much of Baja California Sur and the southern portion of the state of Baja California, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches over Baja California Sur. These rains could produce life threatening flash floods and mudslides. SURF: Swells generated by Blanca are affecting the coast of southwestern Mexico, the Pacific coast of the Baja California peninsula, and the southern Gulf of California. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. For additional information, please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Avila