000
WTPZ32 KNHC 210836
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM POLO ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
200 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 2014

...POLO MOVING SLOWLY AWAY FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH DISCONTINUED...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.6N 110.5W
ABOUT 100 MI...155 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM POLO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.5 WEST. POLO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF POLO WILL PASS TO THE SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. POLO
IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY...AND
BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY POLO WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA THROUGH
SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.

RAINFALL...POLO COULD PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH
TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART