000 WTPZ32 KNHC 240235 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172013 800 PM PDT WED OCT 23 2013 ...RAYMOND CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM MEXICO... ...WEAKER NOW BUT FORECAST TO GAIN SOME STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.7N 104.6W ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.6 WEST. RAYMOND IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...RAYMOND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM MEXICO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TONIGHT...BUT RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO REGAIN SOME STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF GUERRERO. THESE RAINS ARE FORECAST TO GRADUALLY DECREASE BUT STILL COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY RAYMOND SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH...BUT ARE STILL CAPABLE OF CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA