000 WTPZ32 KNHC 230243 TCPEP2 BULLETIN HURRICANE RAYMOND ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172013 800 PM PDT TUE OCT 22 2013 ...RAYMOND EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY... ...HEAVY RAIN THREAT TO CONTINUE... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.2N 101.8W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAZARO CARDENAS WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ACAPULCO TO LAZARO CARDENAS FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.8 WEST. RAYMOND REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY...AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO AND MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN SQUALLS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. STORM SURGE...SOME COASTAL FLOODING IS STILL POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY RAYMOND ARE PRODUCING LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO...WHICH COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN