000 WTPZ32 KNHC 220533 TCPEP2 BULLETIN HURRICANE RAYMOND INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172013 1100 PM PDT MON OCT 21 2013 ...RAYMOND DRIFTING ERRATICALLY WHILE CONTINUING TO CAUSE HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.5N 101.9W ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAZARO CARDENAS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.9 WEST. RAYMOND HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHWARD AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H...OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. A SLOW AND ERRATIC MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND RAYMOND COULD MOVE CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ON TUESDAY. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RAYMOND IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...HOWEVER RAYMOND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A STRONG HURRICANE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 12 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO AND MICHOACAN. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE- THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA BY EARLY TUESDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR IN PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ON TUESDAY IF THE CENTER OF RAYMOND MOVES CLOSER TO THE COAST THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY RAYMOND ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH