000 WTPZ32 KNHC 202346 TCPEP2 BULLETIN HURRICANE RAYMOND INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172013 500 PM PDT SUN OCT 20 2013 ...RAYMOND BECOMES A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.8N 101.9W ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM WSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.20 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ACAPULCO TO LAZARO CARDENAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ACAPULCO TO LAZARO CARDENAS A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.9 WEST. RAYMOND IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A NORTHWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY... FOLLOWED BY A SLOW AND ERRATIC MOTION ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATE MONDAY OR TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TONIGHT AND MONDAY. RAYMOND IS A SMALL HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WIND EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...25 KM FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.20 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF GUERRERO. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE ADJACENT BORDERING STATES OF OAXACA AND MICHOACAN. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA BY LATE MONDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY RAYMOND ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/BERG