000
WTPZ32 KNHC 201435
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172013
800 AM PDT SUN OCT 20 2013
 
...RAYMOND STRENGTHENING...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.9N 101.7W
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO LAZARO CARDENAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RAYMOND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND
HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTH-CENTRAL
COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.7 WEST. RAYMOND IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED BY
EARLY MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A SLOW AND ERRATIC MOTION ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
APPROACH THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WATCH AREA LATE MONDAY OR
TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND
RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON MONDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
BY LATE MONDAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN