000 WTPZ32 KNHC 201138 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172013 500 AM PDT SUN OCT 20 2013 ...RAYMOND GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED SOUTH OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.7N 101.4W ABOUT 180 MI...295 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ACAPULCO TO LAZARO CARDENAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.4 WEST. RAYMOND IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY APPROACH THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WATCH AREA LATE MONDAY OR TUESDAY AND THEN BEGIN TO MEANDER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND RAYMOND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH- CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY LATE MONDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN