000
WTPZ32 KNHC 070232
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LORENA ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122013
800 PM PDT FRI SEP 06 2013
 
...LORENA WEAKENS A LITTLE NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA COAST...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 111.0W
ABOUT 75 MI...115 KM WNW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM SE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
*  BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
*  BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTH OF AGUA BLANCA TO SANTA FE
*  BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF BUENAVISTA TO LA PAZ
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.0 WEST. LORENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ARE EXPECTED OVER
THE WEEKEND.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LORENA SHOULD
REMAIN NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...AND LORENA
IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...LORENA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 4
INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE 
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA AND THESE WINDS COULD CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN