000 WTPZ32 KNHC 062335 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LORENA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122013 500 PM PDT FRI SEP 06 2013 ...LORENA JUST WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.0N 110.8W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM WSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM SE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTH OF AGUA BLANCA TO SANTA FE * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF BUENAVISTA TO LA PAZ A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.8 WEST. LORENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD REMAIN NEAR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENNISULA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMIAN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...LORENA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA AND THESE WINDS COULD CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN