000 WTPZ32 KNHC 062030 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LORENA ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122013 200 PM PDT FRI SEP 06 2013 ...RAINBANDS FROM LORENA MOVING ONSHORE... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.8N 110.3W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM WSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM SE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTH OF AGUA BLANCA TO SANTA FE * BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM NORTH OF BUENAVISTA TO LA PAZ A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.3 WEST. LORENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A DECREASE IN FORWARD AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD REMAIN NEAR OR SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER. AN ELEVATED STATION AT CABO PULMO RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 47 MPH...76 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 64 MPH...103 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...LORENA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA AND THESE WINDS COULD CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE