000 WTPZ32 KNHC 300534 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BARBARA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022013 1100 PM PDT WED MAY 29 2013 ...HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AS BARBARA WEAKENS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.5N 93.9W ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM SE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM WSW OF VILLAHERMOSA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM EAST OF BARRA DE TONALA TO BOCA DE PIJIJIAPAN MEXICO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM... * SALINA CRUZ TO BARRA DE TONALA MEXICO FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARBARA WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 93.9 WEST. BARBARA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF BARBARA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO OVERNIGHT...AND EMERGE OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AS A REMNANT LOW ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...AND BARBARA IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT LOW ON THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...BARBARA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE...OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. ARRIAGA IN THE STATE OF CHIAPAS RECENTLY REPORTED A RAINFALL TOTAL OF 10.89 INCHES...276.5 MM. WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO OVERNIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN