000
WTPZ32 KNHC 310851
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ROSA ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172012
200 AM PDT WED OCT 31 2012
 
...ROSA PARKS ITSELF WELL SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO...
...FORECAST TO MOVE VERY LITTLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 117.3W
ABOUT 755 MI...1215 KM SW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ROSA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.3 WEST.  ROSA IS
MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H.  A WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT AN EVEN SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ROSA COULD BECOME
NEARLY STATIONARY BY THURSDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY...BUT ROSA IS
FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN STARTING TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG