000 WTPZ32 KNHC 240235 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BUD ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022012 800 PM PDT WED MAY 23 2012 ...BUD ALMOST A HURRICANE... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR PART OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.2N 107.9W ABOUT 410 MI...655 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LA FORTUNA. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.9 WEST. BUD IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF BUD IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO BY LATE FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND BUD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON THURSDAY. SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY FRIDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST IN THE WATCH AREA BY LATE FRIDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN