000 WTPZ32 KNHC 210835 TCPEP2 BULLETIN HURRICANE BEATRIZ ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022011 200 AM PDT TUE JUN 21 2011 ...BEATRIZ CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN WITH THE CENTER NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.8N 104.3W ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BEATRIZ WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.3 WEST. BEATRIZ IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF BEATRIZ SHOULD PASS NEAR OR OVER MANZANILLO DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND PASS NEAR OR OVER THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN MANZANILLO AND CABO CORRIENTES LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH... 150 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BEATRIZ IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING WHILE THE CENTER IS OVER WATER...WITH WEAKENING FORECAST TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO OCCURRING ELSEWHERE WITHIN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA. RAINFALL...BEATRIZ IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ALONG THE COASTS OF THE STATES OF GUERRERO... JALISCO...COLIMA...AND MICHOACAN IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN