000
WTPZ32 KNHC 231437
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122007
800 AM PDT SUN SEP 23 2007

...IVO WEAKENS FURTHER AS IT APPROACHES THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA...
 
AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.4 WEST OR ABOUT 110
MILES...180 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
PASS OVER OR VERY NEAR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA LATE TODAY OR EARLY MONDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND IVO COULD DEGENERATE
INTO A REMNANT LOW THIS AFTERNOON. 
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. 
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...22.1 N...111.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI