000 WTPZ31 KNHC 110235 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kevin Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112021 800 PM PDT Tue Aug 10 2021 ...POORLY ORGANIZED KEVIN MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD.. SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.5N 115.4W ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kevin was located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 115.4 West. Kevin is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A general northwestward or west-northwestward motion is expected over the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected to begin tomorrow and Kevin is forecast to weaken to a tropical depression by Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Kevin are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico, and will spread northward along the coast of Baja California Sur over the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Papin/Stewart