000 WTPZ31 KNHC 141751 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Max Intermediate Advisory Number 6A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162017 100 PM CDT Thu Sep 14 2017 ...MAX STRENGTHENING AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST OF MEXICO EAST OF ACAPULCO... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.5N 99.4W ABOUT 35 MI...70 KM SE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Zihuatanejo to Punta Maldonado A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East of Punta Maldonado to Lagunas de Chacahua A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * East of Punta Maldonado to Lagunas de Chacahua A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Max was located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 99.4 West. Max is moving toward the east near 8 mph (13 km/h). An eastward or east-northeastward motion at a similar forward speed is expected through Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Max is forecast to cross the coast of southern Mexico in the hurricane warning area later today or this evening. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is possible before the center of Max reaches the coast later today. Weakening is forecast once Max makes landfall, and it is expected to dissipate over the mountains of southern Mexico by late Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Max is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches in the Mexican state of Guerrero and western portions of the state of Oaxaca. Maximum amounts locally in excess of 20 inches are possible over coastal areas of Guerrero. These torrential rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are likely occurring within portions of the hurricane warning area. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm warning area by this evening, with hurricane conditions possible tonight. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg