000
WTPZ31 KNHC 180233
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062016
900 PM MDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...ESTELLE FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON MONDAY...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 113.2W
ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Estelle was
located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 113.2 West.  Estelle is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days,
and Estelle is expected to become a hurricane on Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake