000
WTPZ31 KNHC 172047
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062016
300 PM MDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...ESTELLE EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 112.5W
ABOUT 475 MI...760 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Estelle was
located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 112.5 West. Estelle is
moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast during
the next couple of days, and Estelle is expected to become a
hurricane tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.  A wind gust to 45 mph (72 km/h) was recently
reported on Socorro Island.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown