000
WTPZ31 KNHC 021437
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
700 AM PST SUN NOV 02 2014

...VANCE BECOMES A HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM PST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.9N 107.5W
ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM PST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE VANCE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.5 WEST. VANCE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H......AND A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT A WEAKENING TREND IS LIKELY TO BEGIN
BY LATE MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.24 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...100 PM PST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH