000
WTPZ31 KNHC 011447
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
800 AM PDT SAT NOV 01 2014

...VANCE IS A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.6N 103.2W
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.2 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...
FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BY SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND VANCE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE