000
WTPZ31 KNHC 010843
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 AM PDT SAT NOV 01 2014

...VANCE ADVANCING WESTWARD AND EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.4N 102.7W
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.7 WEST.  VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...
FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BY SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
VANCE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG