000
WTPZ31 KNHC 010232
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
800 PM PDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...VANCE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY BUT IS EXPECTED TO RE-STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.5N 101.8W
ABOUT 525 MI...850 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.8 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.  A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH VANCE HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY DURING THE PAST FEW
HOURS...RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AND VANCE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY LATE SUNDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART