000
WTPZ31 KNHC 302033
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM VANCE ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212014
200 PM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

...VANCE IS THE 20TH NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.0N 101.0W
ABOUT 415 MI...665 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM VANCE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST. VANCE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST LATER TODAY... WITH A SOUTHWESTWARD
MOTION EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.  VANCE SHOULD TURN BACK TOWARD THE WEST
ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE