000
WTPZ31 KNHC 132050
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KARINA ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
200 PM PDT WED AUG 13 2014

...KARINA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 112.6W
ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM SW OF SOCORRO ISLAND
ABOUT 430 MI...695 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KARINA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.6 WEST. KARINA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF KARINA IS EXPECTED TO PASS JUST SOUTH OF
CLARION ISLAND LATE TONIGHT OR TOMORROW MORNING.

SATELLITE-DERIVED WIND DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND KARINA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY FRIDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART