000
WTPZ31 KNHC 140851
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PAUL ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162012
200 AM PDT SUN OCT 14 2012
 
...PAUL SLOWING DOWN...
...FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD BY MONDAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.3N 114.5W
ABOUT 665 MI...1070 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAUL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.5 WEST. PAUL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH
WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED BY MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND
PAUL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON MONDAY.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN