000
WTPZ31 KNHC 140248
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PAUL ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162012
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 13 2012
 
...TROPICAL STORM PAUL INTENSIFYING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.2N 114.1W
ABOUT 660 MI...1065 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAUL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.1 WEST. PAUL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H.  THE STORM SHOULD SLOW
ITS FORWARD MOTION DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS AS IT MAKES A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
PAUL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/SARDI