000
WTPZ31 KNHC 132036
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PAUL ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162012
200 PM PDT SAT OCT 13 2012
 
...TROPICAL STORM PAUL FORMS WELL SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 113.6W
ABOUT 660 MI...1065 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAUL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.6 WEST. PAUL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. A TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON
SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY A NORTHWARD MOTION BY MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI