000 WTPZ31 KNHC 162030 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112012 200 PM PDT SUN SEP 16 2012 ...KRISTY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.0N 118.5W ABOUT 560 MI...905 KM WNW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.5 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST IS ANTICIPATED ON TUESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND KRISTY IS LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW MONDAY MORNING. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY KRISTY WILL STILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS