000 WTPZ31 KNHC 160851 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KRISTY ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112012 200 AM PDT SUN SEP 16 2012 ...KRISTY EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW SOON... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.1N 117.0W ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM WNW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.0 WEST. KRISTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY AND MONDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST BY TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND KRISTY IS LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY EARLY MONDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY KRISTY WILL STILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN