000 WTPZ31 KNHC 160249 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KRISTY ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112012 800 PM PDT SAT SEP 15 2012 ...KRISTY SLOWLY WEAKENING... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.7N 116.2W ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.2 WEST. KRISTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED FORECAST ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND KRISTY IS LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY KRISTY WILL STILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE