000 WTPZ31 KNHC 140842 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KRISTY ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112012 200 AM PDT FRI SEP 14 2012 ...KRISTY SLIGHTLY STRONGER BUT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.0N 112.0W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM NW OF SOCORRO ISLAND ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.0 WEST. KRISTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BY TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL BUT STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND KRISTY IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY SUNDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...BASED PARTIALLY ON DATA FROM THE MEXICAN NAVY STATION ON SOCORRO ISLAND...IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY KRISTY WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN