000 WTPZ31 KNHC 140236 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KRISTY ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112012 800 PM PDT THU SEP 13 2012 ...KRISTY CONTINUES MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.7N 111.1W ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM N OF SOCORRO ISLAND ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.1 WEST. KRISTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM THE MEXICAN NAVY STATION ON SOCORRO ISLAND IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY KRISTY WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE