000
WTPZ31 KNHC 131431
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112012
800 AM PDT THU SEP 13 2012
 
...KRISTY REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.9N 109.3W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM E OF SOCORRO ISLAND
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.3 WEST. KRISTY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF KRISTY SHOULD BE PASSING WELL SOUTH OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE...BUT A GRADUAL
WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ON FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY KRISTY WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA