000
WTPZ31 KNHC 130846
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112012
200 AM PDT THU SEP 13 2012
 
...KRISTY MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
...ROUGH SURF EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND
THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 108.5W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM E OF SOCORRO ISLAND
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF KRISTY.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.5 WEST. KRISTY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KRISTY SHOULD PASS WELL
SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY KRISTY WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN