000 WTPZ31 KNHC 130246 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KRISTY ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112012 800 PM PDT WED SEP 12 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM KRISTY A LITTLE STRONGER... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 107.4W ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO ABOUT 375 MI...605 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KRISTY. ANY DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD REQUIRE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING FOR A PORTION OF EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.4 WEST. KRISTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...KRISTY SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...AND THEN MOVE TO THE SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...HEAVY SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH OUTER RAINBANDS THAT ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING AS KRISTY CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE COAST. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS