000 WTPZ31 KNHC 122031 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KRISTY ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112012 200 PM PDT WED SEP 12 2012 ...TROPICAL STORM KRISTY FORMS SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.2N 106.9W ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KRISTY. ANY DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD REQUIRE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING FOR A PORTION OF EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.9 WEST. KRISTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A GENERAL MOTION BETWEEN THE NORTHWEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...KRISTY SHOULD BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...AND THEN MOVE TO THE SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...HEAVY SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH OUTER RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY...BUT GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA