000 WTPZ31 KNHC 161433 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FABIO ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062012 800 AM PDT MON JUL 16 2012 ...FABIO TURNS NORTHWESTWARD...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.9N 119.9W ABOUT 700 MI...1130 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.9 WEST. FABIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FABIO IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND FABIO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON TUESDAY AS IT MOVES OVER MUCH COOLER WATERS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY FABIO ARE SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE EXTREME SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST BY TONIGHT. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN