000 WTPZ31 KNHC 160832 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FABIO ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062012 200 AM PDT MON JUL 16 2012 ...FABIO WEAKENING...LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.3N 119.5W ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.5 WEST. FABIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FABIO IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND FABIO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON TUESDAY AS IT MOVES OVER MUCH COOLER WATERS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY FABIO ARE SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE EXTREME SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST BY TONIGHT. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH