000 WTPZ31 KNHC 160231 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FABIO ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062012 800 PM PDT SUN JUL 15 2012 ...FABIO WEAKENS A LITTLE...FASTER WEAKENING EXPECTED TOMORROW... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.8N 119.0W ABOUT 685 MI...1105 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE FABIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.0 WEST. FABIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FABIO IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...AND FABIO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON MONDAY AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON TUESDAY AS IT MOVES OVER MUCH COOLER WATERS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY FABIO ARE SPREADING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE EXTREME SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST BY MONDAY NIGHT. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN