000 WTPZ31 KNHC 150833 TCPEP1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FABIO ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062012 200 AM PDT SUN JUL 15 2012 ...FABIO MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...LIKELY TO BEGIN WEAKENING SOON... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.6N 116.7W ABOUT 620 MI...1000 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.70 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.7 WEST. FABIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FABIO IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. THE HURRICANE WILL BE MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS...AND A WEAKENING TREND IS FORECAST TO BEGIN LATER THIS MORNING. FABIO IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY MONDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.70 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH