000 WTPZ31 KNHC 161435 TCPEP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112011 800 AM PDT SUN OCT 16 2011 ...IRWIN EXPECTED TO MOVE LITTLE OVERALL DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.1N 107.8W ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.8 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. IRWIN IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW WITHIN A COUPLE OF DAYS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI