000
WTPZ31 KNHC 160835
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
200 AM PDT SUN OCT 16 2011
 
...IRWIN MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER OPEN OCEAN...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.3N 107.5W
ABOUT 390 MI...625 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSW OR 210 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.5 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H.
A TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST-SOUTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.  IRWIN COULD THEN BECOME
NEARLY STATIONARY ON MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST...BUT IRWIN COULD
DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AT ANY TIME IF IT
CEASES TO PRODUCE ORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART