000
WTPZ31 KNHC 160235
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 15 2011
 
...IRWIN WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 107.3W
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSW OR 200 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IRWIN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST.  IRWIN
IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND A
TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST-SOUTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.  IRWIN COULD THEN BECOME
NEARLY STATIONARY ON MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST THROUGH
MONDAY...BUT IRWIN COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW AT ANY TIME
IF IT CEASES TO PRODUCE ORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG