000
WTPZ31 KNHC 152032
TCPEP1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IRWIN ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112011
200 PM PDT SAT OCT 15 2011
 
...DISORGANIZED IRWIN NOW MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 107.1W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSW OR 195 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRWIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.1 WEST. IRWIN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A TURN TO
THE SOUTHWEST AND WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  IRWIN IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI